Prospects

[matchesmalone]

Expectations for big ticket prospects next year. This is what I'd like to see to be convinced they are well on track to being the players I think they are:

Shane Wright: 120 points in 50 OHL games. 10 points in 7 games at U20s.
Ivan Miroshnichenko: 20 points in 30 games in VHL, 5 in 20 KHL. 8 points in 7 games at U20s.
Connor Bedard - 110 in 50 games. 7 in 7 at U20s.
Matvei Michkov - 15 in 40 in KHL.. 9 in 7 at U20s. 20 in 7 at U18s.
Tristan Luneau - 50 in 55. 3 in 7 at U20s.
Danila Yurov - 15 in 40 in KHL. 9 in 7 at U20s.
Frank Nazar - 90 in 50 NTDP. 15 in 7 U18s.
Isaac Howard - 80 in 50 NTDP 14 in 7 U18s
Gleb Trikozov - 15 in 10 MHL. 15 in 35 VHL. 14 in 7 U18s.
Simon Nemec - 30 in 35 Slovakia. 6 in 7 U20s.
Seamus Casey - 50 in 50 NTDP. 10 in 7 U18s.
Rutger McGroarty - 75 in 50 NTDP. 12 in 7 U18s.
Brad Lambert - 35 in 40 Liiga. 10 in 7 U20s.
Matthew Savoie - 100 in 50 WHL. 15 in 7 U18s.
Aron Kiviharju - 30 in 40 Sarja. 5 in 7 U18s. 8 in 6 U17s.

Brandt Clarke - 60 points in 50 games OHL. 5 points in 7 games WJC
William Eklund - 45 points in 40 games SHL. 15 in 7 WJC
Alex Holtz - 40 points in 40 games. 14 points in 7 WJC
Lucas Raymond - 20 in 25 AHL. 10 in 30 NHL. 12 in 7 WJC.
Fyodor Svechkov - 15 in 40 KHL. 7 in 7 WJC.
Cole Sillinger - 100 in 50 WHL. 7 in 7 WJC.
Chaz Lucius - 45 in 30 NCAA. 8 in 7 WJC.

[matchesmalone]

My first clip of Gulyayev (#22) I thought was worth pulling, https://youtu.be/bw5_lDCijoc?t=3385

It's interesting, Russia seems to have one defenseman up under-age every year: Mukhamadullin, Grushnikov, Duda, and now Gulyayev. But I dunno, the previous three were more two-way types. Gulyayev is a smaller, offensive guy. Feels like he could be a pretty high-end prospect.

[matchesmalone]

So I've noticed it with Trikky before, but damn this kid can find seams:

https://youtu.be/bw5_lDCijoc?t=4115

Two in a row here (#17).

[matchesmalone]

It's not even fair.

https://youtu.be/bw5_lDCijoc?t=7069

Canada and Russia should have a treaty to ban these two players.

[matchesmalone]

Wow I just realized Ivan Demidov is playing for Russia under-age and a half (late birthday). How early was I talking about this kid?

And holy man, Dvorsky and Gulyayev are having a hell of a couple tournaments. Top end of 2023 is looking pretty ridiculous:

Bedard
Michkov
Dvorsky
Fantilli
Jarventie
Gulyayev
Strammel
Yager
Lindstein
Danielson

[matchesmalone]

Alright lets have a try at a ranking for 2022. I'm only at all confident with the top 15 or so.

1. Shane Wright
2. Ivan Miroshnichenko
3. Simon Nemec
4. Logan Cooley
5. Danila Yurov
6. Juraj Slafkovsky
7. Matthew Savoie
8. Frank Nazar
9. David Jiricek
10. Jonathan Lekkerimaki
11. Conor Geekie
12. Gleb Trikozov
13. Joakim Kemell
14. Brad Lambert
15. Kevin Korchinski
16. Seamus Casey
17. Cutter Gauthier
18. Tristan Luneau
19. Liam Ohgren
20. Marco Kasper
21. Pavel Mintyukov
22. Alexander Perevalov
23. Isaac Howard
24. Rutger McGroarty
25. Ty Nelson
26. Jack Hughes
25. Nathan Gaucher
26. Owen Pickering
27. Jimmy Snuggerud
28. Filip Mesar
29. Calle Odelius
30. Ryan Chesley
31. Denton Mateychuk
32. Daniil Zhilkin

[matchesmalone]

Been about a month since my last ranking. Just trying to keep track. I'm going to pretend nothing is happening in Ukraine right now and just do long-term projection. Will leave out Miro for now while I try to decide what to do with him.

1. Shane Wright
2. Juraj Slafkovsky
3. Logan Cooley
4. Danila Yurov
5. Simon Nemec
6. David Jiricek
7. Frank Nazar
8. Matthew Savoie
9. Kevin Korchinski
10. Joakim Kemell
11. Conor Geekie
12. Jonathan Lekkerimaki
13. Cutter Gauthier
14. Gleb Trikozov
15. Brad Lambert
16. Seamus Casey
17. Denton Mateychuk
18. Liam Ohgren
19. Filip Mesar
20. Tristan Luneau
21. Marco Kasper
22. Pavel Mintyukov
23. Ty Nelson
24. Rutger McGroarty
25. Alex Peravelov
26. Isaac Howard
27. Luca Belluz
28. Ryan Chesley
29. Nathan Gaucher
30. Jimmy Snuggerud
31. Jack Hughes
32. Calle Odelius

[matchesmalone]

2023 rankings

1. Connor Bedard
2. Matvei Michkov
3. Leo Carlsson
4. Adam Fantilli
5. Dalibor Dvorsky
6. Will Smith
7. Lukas Dragicevik
8. Brayden Yager
9. Matthew Wood
10. Charlie Stramel
11. Quentin Musty
12. Calum Ritchie
13. Mikhail Gulyayev
14. Eduard Sale
15. Nate Danielson
16. Cameron Allen
17. Reilly Heidt
18. Zach Benson
19. Daniil But
20. Aram Minnetian

[matchesmalone]

April ranking

1. Shane Wright
2. Juraj Slafkovsky
3. Danila Yurov
4. Logan Cooley
5. Simon Nemec
6. Jonathan Lekkerimaki
7. David Jiricek
8. Frank Nazar
9. Kevin Korchinski
10. Conor Geekie
11. Gleb Trikozov
12. Joakim Kemell
13. Matthew Savoie
14. Tristan Luneau
15. Liam Ohgren
16. Brad Lambert
17. Cutter Gauthier
18. Marco Kasper
19. Seamus Casey
20. Denton Mateychuk
21. Rutger McGroarty
22. Isaac Howard
23. Pavel Mintyukov
24. Owen Pickering
25. Filip Mesar
26. Ty Nelson
27. Jimmy Snuggerud
28. Alex Perevalov
29. Noah Ostlund
30. David Goyette
31. Calle Odelius
32. Lian Bichsel

[Josh]

1 - Wright
2 - Cooley
-
3 - Nemec
4 - Slafkovsky
5 - Jiricek
6 - Kemell
-
7 - Savoie
8 - Nazar
9 - Yurov
10 - Lambert
11 - Geekie
-
12 - Lekkerimaki
13 - Korchinski
14 - Mateychuk
15 - Luneau
16 - Casey
-
17 - Ohgren
18 - Gauthier
19 - Pickering
20 - Howard
21 - Kasper
22 - McGroarty
-
23 - Mintyukov
24 - Snuggerud
25 - Miroshnichenko
-
26 - Bichsel
27 - Mesar
28 - Ostlund
29 - Odelius
30 - Prevalov
31 - Trikozov
32 - Nelson
33 - Salomonsson
34 - Goyette

[matchesmalone]

2023 ranking. I believe this is my first full first round.

1. Connor Bedard
2. Matvei Michkov
3. Leo Carlsson
4. Adam Fantilli
5. Dalibor Dvorsky
6. Lukas Dragicevik
7. Will Smith
8. Brayden Yager
9. Quentin Musty
10. Mikhail Gulyayev
11. Matthew Wood
12. Charlie Stramel
13. Kasper Haltunen
14. Calum Ritchie
15. Eduard Sale
16. Caden Price
17. Zach Benson
18. Aram Minnetian
19. Otto Stenberg
20. Theo Lindstein
21. Cameron Allen
22. Daniil But
23. Ryan Leonard
24. Nate Danielson
25. Max Strbak
26. Colby Barlow
27. Reilly Heidt
28. Kalle Carlsson
29. Emil Jarventie
30. Alex Ciernek
31. Hunter Brzustewicz
32. Koehn Ziemmer

[matchesmalone]

Post-U18 rankings, with tier breaks this time.

1. Shane Wright - C
2. Logan Cooley - C
3. Juraj Slafkovsky - LW
- - - - - - - - -
4. Danila Yurov - RW
5. Jonathan Lekkerimaki - RW
6. Simon Nemec - RD
7. David Jiricek - RD
- - - - - - - - - -
8. Frank Nazar - RW/C
9. Liam Ohgren - LW
10. Conor Geekie - C
11. Marco Kasper - C
12. Matthew Savoie - C
13. Joakim Kemell - RW
14. Kevin Korchinski - LD
- - - - - - - - - -
15. Seamus Casey - LD/RD
16. Cutter Gauthier - LW/C
17. Tristan Luneau - RD
18. Gleb Trikozov - LW/RW
19. Brad Lambert - LW
20. Rutger McGroarty - C
21. Owen Pickering - LD
22. Denton Mateychuk - LD
23. Isaac Howard - LW
- - - - - - - - - -
24. Pavel Mintyukov - LD
25. Jiri Kulich - C
26. Alex Perevalov - LW
27. Calle Odelius - LD
28. Noah Ostlund - C/LW
29. Filip Mesar - RW/C
30. Ryan Chesley - RD
31. Matyas Sapovaliv - C
32. Mattias Havelid - LD